Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.215904 0.249813 0.287274 0.331725 0.383039 0.440425 0.509491
2025-09-28 0.161833 0.207160 0.262422 0.334752 0.426968 0.540681 0.691713
2025-10-05 0.138289 0.189867 0.257191 0.351505 0.480312 0.650261 0.891923
2025-10-12 0.120638 0.175382 0.250933 0.362812 0.524430 0.749763 1.088527
2025-10-19 0.106781 0.163128 0.244736 0.371536 0.563840 0.845070 1.288763
2025-10-26 0.094549 0.150998 0.236362 0.374834 0.594181 0.928964 1.480443
2025-11-02 0.082933 0.137930 0.224448 0.370425 0.611038 0.992894 1.647217
2025-11-09 0.071799 0.123989 0.209151 0.358178 0.613041 1.032399 1.777731
2025-11-16 0.066154 0.118328 0.206422 0.365927 0.648261 1.128773 2.012451
2025-11-23 0.060363 0.111612 0.200979 0.368077 0.673615 1.210438 2.229982
2025-11-30 0.055901 0.106665 0.197931 0.373863 0.705610 1.306334 2.482596
2025-12-07 0.050182 0.098672 0.188433 0.366578 0.712518 1.357247 2.657012
2025-12-14 0.045565 0.092326 0.181447 0.363548 0.727711 1.426219 2.876016
2025-12-21 0.042197 0.088039 0.177923 0.366868 0.755679 1.522645 3.160311
2025-12-28 0.040803 0.087553 0.181751 0.385225 0.815582 1.687619 3.600992
2026-01-04 0.038893 0.085749 0.182675 0.397614 0.864423 1.835167 4.021785
2026-01-11 0.036878 0.083465 0.182318 0.407174 0.908190 1.976522 4.444848
2026-01-18 0.034528 0.080161 0.179405 0.410788 0.939312 2.094028 4.828457
2026-01-25 0.031733 0.075516 0.173049 0.405956 0.950967 2.170167 5.127245
2026-02-01 0.028589 0.069694 0.163423 0.392537 0.941430 2.197890 5.317224
2026-02-08 0.027271 0.068053 0.163177 0.401027 0.983997 2.348564 5.813762
2026-02-15 0.025655 0.065498 0.160508 0.403384 1.012069 2.468177 6.248321
2026-02-22 0.024414 0.063729 0.159520 0.409724 1.050513 2.616248 6.769265